2019년 유럽의회 선거

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유럽의회 전체 의석 751석; 과반수에 376석 필요
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	각 선거구에서 선두를 달리고 있는 유럽의회 그룹을 나타내는 유럽 지도.일부 그룹이 같은 의석수를 가진 선거구에서는 가장 많은 의석을 가진 그룹이 해시로 표시됩니다. EPP S&D 재생 G/EFA 아이디 ECR GUE/NGL NI
선거 전 유럽 집행위원회 위원장; 장클로드 융커; EPP	선거 후 유럽 집행위원회 위원장 ; 우르술라 폰 데르 레이엔; EPP

2019년 유럽의회 선거

2019년 유럽의회 선거는 1979년 첫 직선제 이후 9번째 국회의원 선거인 2019년 5월 23일부터 26일까지 치러졌다.총 751명의 유럽의회 의원(MEP)은 28개 회원국에서 5억1200만명 이상을 대표한다.2018년 2월 유럽 의회는 영국이 2019년 ^[3]3월 29일 유럽연합에서 탈퇴할 경우 MEP 수를 751개에서 705개로 줄이기로 의결했다.그러나 영국은 2019년 10월 31일로 50조를 연장한 후 다른 EU 회원국들과 함께 참여하였다. 따라서 회원국 간 의석 할당과 총 의석 수는 ^[4]2014년과 동일하게 유지되었다.제9차 유럽의회는 2019년 ^[5]7월 2일 첫 번째 본회의를 열었다.

2019년 5월 26일, 만프레드 베버가 이끄는 유럽인민당이 유럽의회에서 최다 의석을 차지하여 차기 ^[6]^[7]유럽위원회 위원장이 될 유력한 후보가 되었다.그럼에도 불구하고 유럽 이사회는 선거 후 우르술라 폰 데르 레이엔을 신임 집행위원장으로 지명하기로 결정했다.중도좌파와 중도우파 정당들은 상당한 손실을 입었고, 반면 친EU 중도, 자유주의, 환경주의 정당들과 반EU 우파 포퓰리즘 정당들은 상당한 ^[8]^[9]이득을 얻었다.

신법

2018년 6월 7일 이사회는 대사급에서 1976년 선거법에서 EU 선거법을 개정하고 구법을 개정하기로 합의했다.개혁의 목적은 회원국들의 ^[10]헌법과 선거 전통을 존중하면서 선거 참여를 늘리고 유럽인의 특성에 대한 이해를 높이고 부정 투표를 방지하는 것이다.개혁안은 제3국에서의 이중투표와 투표를 금지함으로써 유럽 ^[10]정당의 가시성을 향상시킨다.이중 투표를 피하기 위해 접촉 당국이 설립되어 유권자들에 대한 정보를 교환하는데, 이 과정은 적어도 선거 ^[10]6주 전에 시작해야 한다.

유럽 의회는 2018년 7월 4일에 동의하였고, 이 법은 2018년 7월 13일에 이사회에 의해 채택되었다.그러나 모든 회원국이 2019년 선거 전에 이 법을 비준한 것은 아니기 때문에 이번 선거는 이전 ^[11]^[12]규칙에 따라 실시되었다.

정치 단체 및 후보

Spitzenkandidat 과정은 유럽 정당에 의한 위원장 역할 후보 지명을 수반하며, 유럽 의회에서 가장 많은 의석을 획득하는 당은 그들의 후보를 지지하기 위한 과반을 형성하기 위한 첫 번째 기회를 받는다(국가 의회에서 정부 수반이 선출되는 방법에 대한 질문).민주주의).이 과정은 2014년에 처음 사용되었으며 유럽 이사회의 일부에 의해 반대되었다.그 과정의 미래는 불확실하지만, 유럽의회는 그 과정을 성문화하려고 시도했고, 정당들은 후보자들을 다시 ^[13]선출할 것이 거의 확실하다.2018년 1월 23일, 헌법위원회는 스피첸칸디다트 과정을 뒤집을 수 없으며, 의회는 "유럽 선거를 앞두고 스피첸칸디다트로 임명되지 않은 위원회의 위원장 임명 절차에서 어떤 후보도 거부할 준비가 되어 있다"^[14]는 내용의 문구를 채택했다.

2018년 5월 유로바로미터 여론조사에 따르면 조사대상 28개국 전체 27,601명의 개인 중 49%가 스피첸칸디다트 프로세스가 다음 유럽 선거에서 투표하는 데 도움이 될 것이라고 생각하는 반면 70%는 이 과정이 유럽 ^[15]문제에 대한 진정한 토론이 필요하다고 생각하는 것으로 나타났다.

유럽인민당

장 클로드 융커는 유럽연합 ^[16]집행위원장으로서 연임을 시도하지 않을 것이라고 말했다.

EPP 후보 2명이 지명되었습니다.

알렉산더 스투브 유럽투자은행 부총재,^[17] 전 핀란드 총리, 외무장관, 재무장관.
만프레드 베버 현 유럽의회 내 유럽인민당 당수이자 바이에른 기독교사회연합 당원은 앙겔라 메르켈의 지원을 받아 당을^[18] 위해 스피첸칸디다트 역할을 수행해 왔다.

헬싱키에서 열린 2018년 회의에서 EPP는 만프레드 베버를 유럽위원회 ^[19]의장으로 선출했다.

유럽 사회주의당

마르틴 슐츠 전 후보는 2017년 유럽의회를 탈당해 독일 사회민주당 대표를 맡았으나 2018년 후자에서 물러났다.

PES 회원 정당 및 조직에 의해 두 명의 후보자가 지명되었다.

마로시 셰프초비치(위원회 부위원장)는 ^[20]9월에 위원회 위원장 출마를 선언했다.
Frans Timmermans(위원회 제1부위원장, 전 네덜란드 외무장관)는 지난 10월 ^[21]위원회 위원장 출마를 선언했다.

슈프초비치는 11월에 기권을 선언하고 프란스 팀메르만스를 공동 ^[22]후보로 지지하였다.

그 정당은 후보 선출을 비준하고 선언문에 투표하기 위해 리스본에서 임시 의회를 소집했다.

유럽 보수와 개혁파

체코 시민민주당의 MEP인 얀 자흐라딜은 유럽 보수와 개혁주의자들의 스피첸칸디다트이다.

유럽 녹색당

2014년과 마찬가지로, 녹색당은 2019년 ^[23]유럽 선거에 두 명의 유력 후보를 갖는 원칙을 채택했다.2014년 온라인 공개 경선을 통해 후보를 선정했던 것과 달리 두 유력 후보는 2018년 ^[24]11월 베를린 당협회에서 선출됐다.이들 중 2명이 현재 MEP인 4명이 ^[24]출마를 선언했습니다.

페트라 드 수터(2019년 선거에서 유럽 평의회 상원 의원 및 그로엔 후보)
Ska Keller(2019년 선거에서 MEP와 녹색당 후보).
Bas Eickhout (2019년 선거에서 MEP 및 GroenLinks 후보)
아타나스 슈미트(불가리아 젤레나 파르티자 지명)

베를린에서 열린 2018년 대회에서 당은 스카 켈러와 바스 에이크하우트를 유럽위원회 의장의 스피첸칸디다텐으로 선출했다.

유럽 자유 동맹

카탈로니아의 역사학자이자 학자이자 카탈로니아의 전 부통령인 오리올 준케라스는 2017년 카탈로니아 독립 국민투표에 연루돼 수감된 유럽자유동맹의 ^[25]^[26]스피첸칸디다트다.

자유 민주당 연합

ALDE 그룹은 단일 후보를 제시하는 대신 7명으로 구성된 Team Europe를 동맹의 주요 ^[27]후보로 제시했습니다.

Guy Verhofstadt(ALDE 그룹, MEP, 전 벨기에 총리)
Nicola Beer(독일 자유민주당 총서기 겸 대표 후보)
Margrethe Vestager(경쟁위원, 전 덴마크 경제 ^[28]^[29]^[30]내무부 장관).
루이스 가리카노(스페인 시우다노스의 수석 이코노미스트)
Emma Bonino(전 유럽 보건소비자보호위원, 전 이탈리아 외무장관)
Violeta Bulc(슬로베니아 전 부총리, 교통국장)
Katalin Cseh(헝가리 모멘텀 무브먼트 창립자)

유럽 좌파당

지명된 후보자는 슬로베니아 출신의 비올레타 토미치와 벨기에 노동조합원인 니코 ^[31]쿠에이다.

포퓰리즘과 유럽 회의주의 단체

자유와 직접민주주의의 유럽은 선거 후에 해체될 것으로 널리 예상되었다.한 가지 이유는 MEP의 가장 큰 점유율이 영국에서 나왔기 때문이다. 영국은 선거 전에 EU를 떠날 것으로 오랫동안 예상되어 왔다.두 번째는 두 번째로 큰 파트너인 이탈리아의 오성운동(M5S)이 그린스/EFA 또는 ALDE 그룹에 가입하려다 실패하면서 어쨌든 이 동맹에 대해 불안감을 느꼈다는 점이다.2019년 2월, M5S는 크로아티아, 핀란드, 그리스 및 폴란드의 파트너와 함께 좌파도 ^[32]우파도 아닌 새로운 반체제 정당 연합을 발표했다.

The Movement는 2018년 스티브 배넌이 유럽 선거에 출마하기 위해 설립한 포퓰리즘 정당 연합이다.참가 정당에는 최소한 일시적으로 레가 노르드, 벨기에 국민당, 이탈리아 형제당, 프랑스 국민대회 등이 포함되어 있을 가능성이 있다.원래 유럽의 포퓰리즘 정당들을 결집시키기 위한 시도로 구상되었던 The Movement는 지금까지 Alternative for ^[33]Germany, Freedom Party of^[34] Austria, 그리고 UK Independence ^[35]Party에 의해 무시되어 왔다.2019년 3월, 기자들은 배넌의 프로젝트가 ^[36]^[37]실패했다고 평가했다.선거를 앞두고, 프랑스 국민 랠리의 마린 르펜은 배넌이 자신의 당의 선거 ^[38]운동에서 아무런 역할을 하지 않았음을 분명히 하면서 배넌과 거리를 뒀다.

2019년 4월 이탈리아 레가의 마테오 살비니는 포퓰리즘, 강경한 유럽 회의주의 및 반이민 정당들의 새로운 연합으로 유럽 민족 및 국가 연합을 출범시켰다.유럽국가연합(Europe of Nations and Freedom)과 자유그룹(Europe of Freedom)의 회원 대부분(레가, 프랑스 국민대회, 오스트리아 자유당, 네덜란드 자유당 등)과 옛 EFDD(독일 대안당), ECR(덴마크 인민당, 핀란드당)이 가입했다.이 단체는 80개 이상의 ^[39]MEP로 의회에서 네 번째로 큰 단체가 될 것으로 예측되고 있다.

신당파

2019년에는 폴란드의 비오나, 체코의 체코 해적당, 루마니아의 USR-PLUS, 휴먼 쉴드와 크로아티아 대부분, 슬로바키아의 andSNS와 진보 슬로바키아 등의 신당이 등장했다.새로운 당사자 중 일부는 이미 유럽 정당에 가입했다. 예를 들어 슬로베니아의 LMSH는 ALDE의 회원이다.

최대 신당은 2016년 창당해 이듬해 프랑스 대선과 총선에서 승리한 에마뉘엘 마크롱 프랑스 대통령의 '라 레푸블리 앙 마르쉐(LREM)'다.당초 기존 정당가정 중 어느 쪽에도 가입하지 않고 마크롱의 유럽기구 개혁안을 지지하는 친유럽 중도파 의원들로 구성된 새 의회 그룹을 구성하려다 ALDE, EPP, S&^[40]^[41]D 의원들을 끌어냈다.이러한 프로젝트의 가능한 파트너로는 스페인 시우다노스, 진보 슬로바키아, 헝가리 모멘텀 ^[40]무브먼트가 포함될 것으로 예상되었다.그러나 가상 그룹은 새로운 ^[40]그룹을 구성하는 데 필요하기 때문에 최소 7개 회원국의 MEP를 찾는 데 어려움이 있는 것으로 간주되었다.2018년 11월 LREM은 진보 성향의 ALDE 그룹과 협력하기로 결정했다.그럼에도 불구하고, 마크롱은 이것이 단지 느슨한 동맹일 뿐이고 그의 당은 ALDE 유로파티의 회원이 아니라고 강조했다.그는 ALDE가 바이엘몬산토 화학그룹으로부터 기부금을 받은 것을 직격탄을 날렸고, LREM의 캠페인 책임자는 ^[42]ALDE를 회수하겠다고 위협했다.2019년 4월과 5월, LREM은 ALDE를 포함한 보다 광범위한 그룹을 구축하기 위한 노력을 계속했다.또한 ALDE ^[43]^[44]이외의 중도좌파 정당도 마찬가지였다.

신당인 Brexit 당은 영국에서 ^[45]29석을 얻었다.

유럽의 민주화 운동 2025에서 시작된 유럽의 봄은 유럽을 위한 하나의 통일된 비전인 유럽 녹색 ^[46]뉴딜을 가진 범유럽 정당 연합으로 운영되었습니다.가장 눈에 띄는 인물은 야니스 바로파키스 ^[47]전 그리스 장관으로 독일 선거구에 출마했으나 의석을 확보하지 못했다.약 150만 표를 얻었음에도 불구하고, DiEM25를 운영하는 대표는 선출되지 않았다. 왜냐하면 투표가 다른 EU ^[48]국가들로 분산되었기 때문이다.

새로운 범유럽 정당으로서 볼트 유로파는 선거 2년 전에 다른 유럽 국가에서 창당되었고 하나의 초국가적 프로그램으로 ^[49]8개 EU 국가에서 선거를 위한 캠페인을 성공적으로 벌였다.스스로 의회 그룹을 만들겠다는 목표를 놓쳤음에도 불구하고, 대략 50만 표가 창립자 중 한 명인 Damian Boeselager를 독일 볼트 ^[50]목록을 통해 유럽의회에 보내기에 충분했다.2019년 6월부터 Volt는 그린스/[51]EFA 그룹에 속해 있습니다.

텔레비전 토론회

유럽 집행위원회 위원장 후보들 (2019년 5월)왼쪽에서 오른쪽으로: 자흐라딜, 쿠에, 켈러, 베스타저, 팀머만, 베버

TV 토론회 표

날짜.	시간(CEST)	기관	참가자	위치	언어	메인 프레젠터
2019년 4월 17일	21:00	프랑스 24 및 RFI^[52]	팀머만과 베버	스트라스부르	프랑스어	Caroline de Camaret(프랑스 24) 및 Dominoique Baillard(RFI)
2019년 4월 17일	22:00	프랑스^[53]^[54] 24	팀머만과 베버	스트라스부르	영어	캐서린 니콜슨(프랑스 24)
2019년 4월 29일	19:00	폴리티코 유럽^[55]	에이크하우트, 팀메르만스, 토미치, 베르호프슈타트, 자흐라딜	마스트리히트	영어	Ryan Heath(Politico Europe) 및 Rianne Letschert(마스트리히트 대학교)
2019년 5월 2일	18:00	파이낸셜^[56] 타임스	켈러, 팀머만, 베르호프슈타트, 베버	플로렌스	영어	마틴 샌드부 (파이낸셜타임스)
2019년 5월 7일	20:15	ARD^[57]	팀머만과 베버	쾰른	독일의	엘렌 에흐니와 안드레아스 시초비치(모두 ARD)
2019년 5월 15일	21:00	EBU^[58]	쿠에, 켈러, 팀메르만, 베스타게르, 베버, 자흐라딜	브뤼셀	영어	Emmilie Tran Nguyen(프랑스 TV), Markus Preiss(ARD 독일), Annastiina Heikkilae(YLE 핀란드)
2019년 5월 16일	20:15	ZDF 및 ORF^[59]	팀머만과 베버	베를린	독일의	Peter Frey(ZDF) 및 Ingrid Thurnher(ORF)
2019년 5월 21일	22:00	NOS 및 NTR^[60]	팀머만과 베버	힐버섬	독일어 및 네덜란드어	Jeroen Wollaars (NOS)

결과.

무리

정치^[61] 그룹별 결과

그룹(2019~24)			투표		좌석
그룹(2019~24)			투표	%	좌석	∆	%
	EPP	유럽 인민당 그룹	41,211,023^[a]	20.80	182 / 751	−34	24.23
	S&D	진보사회민주연합	35,421,084	17.88	154 / 751	−31	20.51
	재생	유럽 갱신^[b]	23,788,652^[c]	12.01	108 / 751	+39	14.38
	G/EFA	녹색-유럽 자유 동맹	19,886,513^[d]	10.04	74 / 751	+22	9.85
	아이디	정체성과 민주주의^[e]	20,980,853	10.59	73 / 751	+37	9.72
	ECR	유럽 보수와 개혁파	14,207,477	7.17	62 / 751	−15	8.26
	GUE/NGL	유럽 연합 좌파-노르딕 녹색 좌파	10,219,537^[f]	5.16	41 / 751	−11	5.46
	NI	비인사이츠	12,923,417	6.52	57 / 751	+37	7.59
기타 모든 것			19,453,922	9.82	0 / 751	없음	0.00
총			198,352,638	100.00	751		100.00
주어진 투표 총계는 의석을 획득하고 해당 그룹에 가입했거나 비참가자 명단에 대해서만 계산된다.

투표 요약

EPP			20.80%
S&D			17.88%
재생			12.01%
아이디			10.59%
G/EFA			10.04%
ECR			7.17%
GUE/NGL			5.16%
NI			6.52%
다른.			9.82%

국가별

시트 요약

EPP			24.23%
S&D			20.51%
재생			14.38%
G/EFA			9.85%
아이디			9.72%
ECR			8.26%
GUE/NGL			5.46%
NI			7.59%


주	정치 단체																MEP

	EPP (EPP, ECPM)		S&D (PES, EDP)		재생 (ALDE, EDP)		G/EFA (EGP, EFA)		아이디 (IDP)		ECR (ECRP, ECPM, EFA)		GUE/NGL (PEL)		NI
독일.	23 (CDU) 6(CSU)	−5 +1	16(SPD)	−11	5(FDP) 2 (FW)	+2 +1	21 (B’90/Grüne) 1(öDP) 1 (피라텐) 1 (볼트 유로파) 1 (PARTEI)	+10 = = +1 +1	11 (AfD)	+4	1 (가족)	=	5 (Linke) 1 (타협)	−2 =	1 (PARTEI)	=	96
프랑스.	8(LR-LC )	−12	5(PS-PP-ND )	−8	21 (LREM-MoDem-Agir-)MR)	+21	12 (EELV)	+6	22(RN)	−2			6 (FI)	+6			74
유나이티드항공 킹덤			10 (랩)	−10	16(LD) 1 (동맹)	+15 +1	7(GPEW) 3(SNP) 1 (PC)	+4 +1 =			4 (CON)	−15	1 (SF)	=	29 (브렉시트 파티) 1 (DUP)	+29 =	73
이탈리아	6 (FI) 1 (SVP)	−7 =	19 (PD)	−12					28 (레가)	+23	5 (FdI)	+5			14(M5S)	−3	73
스페인	12(PP)	−4	20 (PSOE)	+6	7 (C) 1 (CEUS/EAJ/PNV)	+1 =	1(AR-ERC) 1 (위)	-1 =			3 (VOX)	+3	5 (위) 1 (AR-EH 빌두)	−5 =	2 (JuntsxCat) 1(AR-ERC)	+2 +1	54
폴란드	22 (KE)	- 5	3 (Wiosna)	+3							26 (PiS-SP)	+7					51
루마니아	10(PNL) 2(UDMR) 2 (PMP)	−1 = =	8 (PSD) 2 (프로)	−8 +2	8 (USR-PLUS)	+8											32
네덜란드	4 (CDA) 1 (50 이상) 1 (CU)	−1 +1 +1	6 (PvdA)	+3	2 (D66) 4 (VVD)	−2 +1	3 (GL)	+1			3 (FVD) 1 (SGP)	+3 =	1 (PVDD)	=			26
벨기에	2 (CD&V) 1 (CDH) 1 (CSP)	= = =	2 (PS) 1 (SPA)	−1 =	2 (오픈 VLD) 2(MR)	−1 −1	2 (ECOLO) 1 (신음)	+1 =	3 (VB)	+2	3 (N-VA)	−1	1 (PTB)	+1			21
체코 공화국	2+1(TOP 09+STAN) 2(KDU-CHSL)	−1 −1			6 (ANO)	+2	3 (피라티)	+3	2 (SPD)	+2	4(ODS)	+2	1 (KSCCM)	−2			21
그리스	8(ND)	+3	2 (키널)	=							1 (EL)^[62]	+1	6 (시리자)	=	2 (KKE) 2 (XA)	= −1	21
헝가리	12+1(Fidesz+KDNP)	+1	1 (MSZP) 4 (DK)	−1 +2	2 (모모)	+2									1 (잡빅)	−2	21
포르투갈	6 (PSD) 1 (CDS – PP)	= =	9 (PS)	+1			1 (PAN)	+1					2 (CDU: PCP) 2 (BE)	−1 +1			21
스웨덴	4 (M) 2 (KD)	+1 +1	5 (S)	=	2 (C) 1 (L)	+1 −1	2 (MP)	−2			3 (SD)	+1	1 (V)	=			20
오스트리아	7(öVP)	+2	5(SPö)	=	1 (NEOS)	=	2 (그뤼네)	−1	3(FPö)	−1							18
불가리아	6 (GERB) 1 (DSB)	= +1	5(BSP)	+1	3 (DPS)	−1					2 (IMRO)	+1					17
핀란드	3 (Kok)	=	2 (SDP)	=	2 (Kesk) 1 (SFP)	−1 =	2 (VIHR)	+1	2 (PS)	=			1 (Vas)	=			13
덴마크	1 (C)	=	3 (S)	=	3 (V) 2 (B)	+1 +1	2 (SF)	+1	1 (O)	−3			1 (RG)	+1			13
슬로바키아	2 (SPOLU) 1 (KDH) 1 (OVNO)	+2 −1 =	3 (스모어-)SD)	−1	2 (PS)	+2					2 (SaaS)	+1			2(δSNS)	+2	13
크로아티아	4(HDZ)	−1	3(SDP)	+1	1 (AMS/IDS)	−1					1 (홍콩)	=			1(인간 실드) 1 (콜라쿠시치)	+1 +1	11
아일랜드	4 (FG)	=			1 (FF)	=	2 (GP)	+2					2 (I4C) 1 (SF) 1 (플래너건)	+2 −2 =			11
리투아니아	3(TS-LKD) 1 (Maldeikien†)	+1 +1	2(LSDP)	=	1 (DP) 1(LRLS)	= −1	2 (LVJS)	+1			1 (LLRA)	=					11
라트비아	2(JV)	−2	2 (사스카야)	+1	1(AP!)	+1	1 (LKS)	=			2 (NA)	+1					8
슬로베니아	2+1(SDS+SLS) 1 (NSI)	−1 =	2 (SD)	+1	2 (LMS)	+2											8
키프로스	2 (DISY)	=	1 (EDEK) 1 (DIKO)	= =									2 (AKEL)	=			6
에스토니아			2 (SDE)	+1	2 (RE) 1 (KE)	= =			1 (EKRE)	+1							6
룩셈부르크	2(CSV)	−1	1(LSAP)	=	2 (DP)	+1	1 (회색)	=									6
몰타	2 (PN)	−1	4 (PL)	+1													6
총																	MEP
	EPP		S&D		재생		G/EFA		아이디		ECR		GUE/NGL		NI		MEP
	182 (24.2%)	−39	154 (20.5%)	−37	108 (14.4%)	+41	74 (9.9%)	+24	73 (9.7%)	+26	62 (8.3%)	−8	41 (5.5%)	−11	57 (7.6%)	+5	751

Brexit 후 시트

재분배된 의석이 있는 유럽 연합 지도:

GUE/NGL: 40석

S&D: 148석

G/EFA: 67석

갱신: 97석

EPP: 187석

ECR: 62 시트

ID : 76석

비인실: 28석

2018년 6월 유럽 이사회는 영국이 EU를 탈퇴할 경우 공석이 되는 73석 중 27석을 재할당하기로 결정했다.선거 당시 영국은 여전히 EU 회원국이었기 때문에 2014년과 같은 의석 배분으로 선거가 치러졌다.영국이 EU를 탈퇴했을 때, 의석 중 27석이 아래와 같이 다른 EU 회원국에 배분되어 총 705회의 MEP가 되었다.^[63]

주	앞자리	다음 좌석	바꾸다
오스트리아	18	19	1
벨기에	21	21	0
불가리아	17	17	0
크로아티아	11	12	1
키프로스	6	6	0
체코 공화국	21	21	0
덴마크	13	14	1
에스토니아	6	7	1
핀란드	13	14	1
프랑스.	74	79	5
독일.	96	96	0
그리스	21	21	0
헝가리	21	21	0
아일랜드	11	13	2
이탈리아	73	76	3
라트비아	8	8	0
리투아니아	11	11	0
룩셈부르크	6	6	0
몰타	6	6	0
네덜란드	26	29	3
폴란드	51	52	1
포르투갈	21	21	0
루마니아	32	33	1
슬로바키아	13	14	1
슬로베니아	8	8	0
스페인	54	59	5
스웨덴	20	21	1
영국	73	0	73
총	751	705	46

그룹 표현 변경

아래 표는 영국이 EU를 탈퇴한 후 그룹 구성의 변화를 보여준다.

회원국	정치 단체								MEP

	EPP	S&D	재생	G/EFA	아이디	ECR	GUE/NGL	NI
오스트리아				+1 (그뤼네)					+1
크로아티아		+1(SDP)							+1
덴마크			+1 (V)						+1
에스토니아	+1 (PP)								+1
핀란드				+1 (VIHR)					+1
프랑스.		+1 (PS)	+1 (LREM) +1 (PD)	+1 (EELV)	+1 (RN)				+5
아일랜드	+1 (FG)		+1 (FF)						+2
이탈리아	+1 (FI)				+1 (LN)	+1 (FdI)			+3
네덜란드			+1 (VVD)		+1 (PVV)^[g]	+1 (FVD)			+3
폴란드						+1 (PiS)			+1
루마니아		+1 (PSD)							+1
슬로바키아	+1 (KDH)								+1
스페인	+1 (PP)	+1 (PSOE)	+1 (Cs)			+1 (VOX)		+1 (JuntsxCat)	+5
스웨덴				+1 (MP)					+1
유나이티드항공 킹덤		-10 (랩)	−16 (LibDem) - 1(APNI)	-7(녹색) -3(SNP) - 1 (PC)		- 4 (콘)	- 1 (SF)	-29 (브렉시트 파티) - 1 (DUP)	−73
바꾸다	+5	−6	−11	−7	+3	0	−1	−29	−46

^
- EPP와 S&D에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 유럽연합(폴란드)의 득표수는 524만9935표로 집계됐다.
- EPP와 ECR 그룹에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 기독교 연합 개혁 정당(네덜란드)의 375,660표가 EPP 그룹에 집계되었습니다.
^ 유럽 재생은 2014-2019년 의회에서 유럽자유민주연합(ALDE)을 대체했다.
^ RE와 EPP 그룹에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 PS-SPOLU(슬로바키아)의 198,255표가 RE 그룹에 집계되었다.
^ G/EFA 및 GUE/NGL 그룹에 가입한 정당(및 비인사인 1명)으로 구성된 Ahora Republicas(스페인)의 1,252,139표가 G/EFA 그룹에 집계되었다.
^ 정체성과 민주주의는 2014-2019년 의회의 국제자유유럽(ENF) 그룹을 크게 대체했다.
^ GUE/NGL과 G/EFA 그룹에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 유니다스 포데모스 캄비아르 유로파(스페인)는 225만8857표가 GUE/NGL 그룹에 집계됐다.
^ PVV의 리더인 Geert Wilders는 그 당이 ID 그룹에 가입할 것이라고 발표했다.

시트 투영

유럽 선거에 대한 범유럽 여론조사는 없었다.그러나 몇몇 단체는 모든 회원국의 국가 여론조사를 바탕으로 유럽의회의 이론적인 의석 분포를 계산했다.아래 표에는 이러한 다양한 투영법이 나와 있습니다.영국은 2017년 3월 유럽연합 탈퇴 의사를 통보한 이후 유럽 선거에 참여하지 않을 것으로 예상돼 예상에서 제외됐다.2019년 4월 10일, 유럽 이사회는 2019년 10월 31일까지의 EU 탈퇴 기한을 연장했고, 영국은 ^[64]유럽 선거에 참여하였다.영국은 그 날짜 이후 대부분의 예상에 포함되었다.

의석수별 여론조사

기관	날짜.	EPP	S&D	재생	녹색/EFA	아이디	ECR	GUE/NGL	EFDD	NI	극우(NI)	극좌(NI)	보통(NI)
기관	날짜.										극우(NI)	극좌(NI)	보통(NI)
선거 결과^[65]	2019-05-26	182	154	108	74	73	62	41	44^[a]	13 →	7	2	4
유럽 선택^[66] (영국 포함)	2019-05-21	172	151	110	54	82 (EAPN으로서)	60	52	52 (브렉시트로부터의 28)	13	–	–	5 (해적)
선택.데^[67] (영국 포함)	2019-05-20	169 (피데즈 없음)	155	99	57	84 (EAPN으로서)	82 (Fidesz에서 15개)	53	41 (브렉시트와 함께 5SDD)	11	–	–	–
유럽 선택^[66] (영국 포함)	2019-05-14	178	153	104	55	82 (EAPN으로서)	61	51	48	13+5	–	–	–
EU19.EU^[68] (영국 포함)	2019-05-08	157	174	99	49	85	75	46	29	37	–	–	–
유럽 선택^[66] (영국 포함)	2019-05-07	180	158	101	51	84 (EAPN으로서)	61	50	45	12+9	–	–	–
선택.데^[69] (영국 포함)	2019-05-05	175 (피데즈 없음)	147	99	63	79 (EAPN으로서)	81 (Fidesz에서 13개)	53	22 (5SDD로)	32	–	–	–
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu^[70] (영국 제외)	2019-05-01	178	125	74 (En Marche 없음)	50	57	49	50	36	→	30	4	52 (En Marche에서 24)
유럽 선택^[66] (영국 포함)	2019-04-30	180	159	102	51	82 (EAPN으로서)	61	49	–	12+55	–	–	–
유럽 선택^[71] (영국 포함)	2019-04-25	180	161	104	51	85 (EAPN으로서)	64	49	–	13+44	–	–	–
EU19.EU^[72] (영국 제외)	2019-04-23	181	145	107	49	75	58	45	25	20	–	–	–
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu^[73] (영국 포함)	2019-04-16	177	148	73 (En Marche 없음)	57	63	58	48	40	→	35	3	49 (En Marche에서 22)
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu^[73] (영국 제외)	2019-04-16	185	132	67 (En Marche 없음)	50	57	47	51	27	→	39	3	47 (En Marche에서 22)
바이디미디어^[74] (영국 포함)	2019-04-12	175	158	96	49	63	74	47	32	7+50	–	–	–
EU19.EU^[75] (영국 포함)	2019-04-12	176	171	98	49	74	76	46	27	34	–	–	–
유럽 선택^[76]	2019-04-10	184	135	106	47	63	63	51	35	11+10	–	–	–
유럽 선택^[77]	2019-04-10	184	135	106	47	84 (EAPN으로서)	63	51	24	11+10	–	–	–
EU19.EU^[78]	2019-04-05	193	140	99	48	75	60	48	19 (M5S만)	23	–	–	–
유럽의회^[79]	2019-03-29	188	142	72 (En Marche 없음)	51	61	43	49	30	37	–	–	22 (En Marche만 해당)
EU19.EU^[80]	2019-03-29	187	145	99	47	74	61	50	22 (M5S만)	20	–	–	–
EU19.EU^[81]	2019-03-27	184	146	102	45	78	59	49	22 (M5S만)	20	–	–	–
유럽 선택^[82]	2019-03-25	177	135	105	46	62	64	53	40	12+11	–	–	–
EU19.EU^[83]	2019-03-21	180	135	102	50	81	67	48	23 (M5S만)	19	–	–	–
EU19.EU^[84]	2019-03-18	181	135	101	50	82	65	48	24 (M5S만)	19	–	–	–
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu^[85]	2019-03-15	183	134	73 (En Marche 없음)	46	60	40	49	32	→	38	3	47 (En Marche에서 21)
election.de^[86]	2019-03-15	175 (피데즈 없음)	132	98	57	62	59	53	61 (Fidesz에서 12개)	8	–	–	–
EU19.EU[87]	2019-03-14	178	143	101	47	83	58	51	24 (오직 M5S)	20	–	–	–
EU19.EU[88]	2019-03-06	186	142	94	48	81	60	49	25 (오직 M5S)	20	–	–	–
EU19.EU[89]	2019-03-04	185	141	94	47	83	59	52	25 (오직 M5S)	19	–	–	–
EU19.EU[90]	2019-03-01	182	138	97	47	83	59	53	26 (오직 M5S)	20	–	–	–
유럽 Parliament[91]	2019-02	181	135	75	49	59	46	47	39	74	–	–	–
EU19.EU[92]	2019-02-26	173	144	99	50	82	59	51	26 (오직 M5S)	21	–	–	–
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu[93]	2019-02-24	185	139	68 (En Marche 없음)	43	59	46	50	34	→	40	3	38 (21앙 마르케 주에서)
EU19.EU[94]	2019-02-21	170	141	104	48	84	62	50	23 (오직 M5S)	23	–	–	–
EU19.EU[95]	2019-02-20	168	143	106	48	83	63	49	24 (M5S만)	23	–	–	–
유로바로미터^[96]	2019-02-18	183	135	75 (En Marche 없음)	45	59	51	46	43	22+58	–	–	–
EU19.EU^[97]	2019-02-16	167	143	104	47	85	63	47	25 (M5S만)	24	–	–	–
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu^[98]	2019-02-03	191	138	68 (En Marche 없음)	45	56	56	52	35	→	39	3	36 (En Marche에서 21)
유럽의회^[91]	2019-01	186	129	77	46	60	43	45	34	85	–	–	–
유럽^[99] 선출 ('연합 우경화 시나리오')	2019-01-30	191	129	98	47	132	–	56	–	12+40	–	–	–
유럽 선출^[99] ('EFDD 분할 시나리오')	2019-01-30	177	129	98	47	77	93	56	–	12+16	–	–	–
유럽 선택^[100]	2019-01-13	177	129	98	47	62	62	56	46	12+16	–	–	–
데르 (유로페이스케) 쾨데랄리스트^[101]	2019-01-08	181	130	90	49	63	58	57	14	11+52	–	–	–
유럽의회^[91]	2018-12	185	131	78	42	62	45	49	46	67	–	–	–
유럽 선택^[102]	2018-12-05	178	133	96	43	61	53	58	47	13+21	–	–	–
유럽의회^[91]	2018-11	181	140	78	46	59	43	50	45	63	–	–	–
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu^[103]	2018-11-29	186	140	76 (En Marche 없음)	42	56	43	56	35	→	36	3	32 (En Marche에서 18개)
유럽^[104] 선택	2018-11-11	172	136	98	45	61	54	60	48	10+21	–	–	–
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu^[105]	2018-10-28	186	136	77 (En Marche 없음)	40	53	42	58	38	→	38	3	34 (En Marche에서 21)
인스티튜토카타네오^[106]	2018-10-09	180	139	93	45	63	54	63	55	13	–	–	–
유럽^[107] 선택	2018-10-09	177	134	98	40	61	50	61	50	9+25	–	–	–
폴리티코 유럽^[108]	2018-10-08	178	137	83 (21 En Marche)	40	59	48	58	53	6+33	–	–	–
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu^[109]	2018-09-22	182	139	76 (En Marche 없음)	36	52	46	61	40	→	36	3	33 (En Marche에서 21)
유럽^[110] 선택	2018-09-20	181	134	100	37	57	49	61	49	11+26	–	–	–
데르 (유로페이스케) 쾨데랄리스트^[111]	2018-09-19	178	140	95	42	59	50	60	21	10+50	–	–	–
EuropeanElectionsStats.eu^[112]	2018-09-12	187	141	72 (no En Marche)	33	52	44	60	39	→	39	4	33 (21 from En Marche)
Europe Elects^[113]	2018-08-10	179	137	104	36	55	50	60	49	10+25	–	–	–
Thomson Reuters^[114]	2018-07-28	180	154	104	34	63	42	56	59	13	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist ("dynamic scenario")^[115]	2018-07-25	177	145	56 (En Marche) 53 (ALDE)	38	78	90	58	–	10	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist ("baseline scenario")^[115]	2018-07-25	177	145	102	38	56	50	57	22	10+48	–	–	–
www.thenewfederalist.eu/Europe Elects^[116]	2018-07-06	185	141	110	34	52	44	58	49	9+23	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist ("dynamic scenario")^[117]	2018-05-29	178	138	57 (En Marche) 50 (ALDE)	37	66	84	56	–	12	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist ("baseline scenario")^[117]	2018-05-29	178	137	103	37	46	43	55	23	12+44	–	–	–
treffpunkteuropa.de/Europe Elects^[118]	2018-05-18	179	141	112	32	47	42	61	58	12+21	–	–	–
treffpunkteuropa.de/Europe Elects^[119]	2018-04-17	180	143	112	33	46	42	60	58	9+22	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[120]	2018-04-03	180	137	104	33	44	41	58	23	12+46	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[121]	2018-02-05	179	142	102	33	41	47	65	42	27	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[122]	2017-12-13	196	142	109	30	36	45	56	37	27	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[123]	2017-10-16	192	150	106	28	37	45	55	38	27	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[124]	2017-08-21	196	149	108	24	44	42	57	29	29	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[125]	2017-06-27	201	155	109	23	42	38	55	28	27	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[126]	2017-05-02	198	170	82	28	59	35	46	27	33	–	–	–
New allocation of seats without the United Kingdom approved
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[126]	2017-05-02	198	186	88	35	59	68	47	36	34	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[127]	2017-03-28	181	181	75	29	48	74	58	40	51	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[126]	2017-03-06	191	182	80	35	60	69	50	48	36	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[128]	2017-03-01	174	185	85	31	51	81	54	42	48	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[126]	2017-01-16	191	180	82	40	68	63	48	48	31	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[129]	2017-01-07	189	170	82	28	60	71	63	38	49	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[129]	2016-12-01	195	176	81	35	57	72	57	38	42	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[126]	2016-11-14	194	182	91	38	61	65	48	47	25	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[130]	2016-10-31	191	171	75	30	61	73	71	41	38	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[131]	2016-10-01	194	179	82	31	64	71	57	42	31	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[126]	2016-09-13	189	181	91	38	63	62	47	53	27	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[132]	2016-09-01	189	176	86	32	54	74	59	40	32	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[132]	2016-08-13	191	184	86	32	58	72	60	40	21	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[133]	2016-07-28	192	185	90	39	61	59	48	54	13	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[134]	2016-07-13	202	187	92	31	58	67	57	36	21	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[135]	2016-06-23	183	179	88	32	61	74	61	46	27	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[136]	2016-06-01	186	177	83	35	45	76	59	63	27	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[137]	2016-05-25	187	174	85	40	70	63	55	51	12	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[138]	2016-05-02	187	178	89	27	49	69	66	56	23	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[139]	2016-04-07	192	179	85	37	53	72	52	50	31	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[140]	2016-04-02	205	177	87	30	48	84	58	37	25	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[141]	2016-03-01	186	183	99	27	48	81	65	37	25	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[139]	2016-02-07	196	183	82	34	55	70	51	51	29	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[142]	2016-02-02	191	186	79	27	51	86	69	39	23	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[143]	2016-01-04	194	187	95	28	48	76	66	37	20	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[144]	2015-12-14	192	185	87	33	53	68	52	52	29	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[145]	2015-12-02	197	186	82	33	47	91	61	37	17	–	–	–
thenewfederalist.eu^[146]	2015-11-17	196	201	76	31	42	88	62	42	13	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[147]	2015-11-01	197	203	75	31	42	88	61	42	12	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[148]	2015-10-17	204	193	75	33	54	66	51	51	24	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[149]	2015-08-21	204	190	74	35	49	70	56	47	26	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[150]	2015-07-03	206	193	68	36	39	80	69	30	30	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[151]	2015-06-30	205	188	73	34	47	69	61	43	31	–	–	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[152]	2015-05-05	218	196	75	31	–	71	74	34	52	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[153]	2015-05-03	205	193	80	32	(51)	62	60	44	24	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[154]	2015-03-10	216	196	77	31	(49)	60	60	43	19	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[155]	2015-01-12	212	190	70	40	(43)	59	65	47	25	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[156]	2014-11-18	212	195	69	42	(43)	59	60	47	24	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[157]	2014-09-23	223	196	67	39	(40)	61	53	47	25	–	–	–
Der (europäische) Föderalist^[126]	2014-07-28	215	191	75	47	(40)	66	56	44	17	–	–	–
European election 2014	2014-05-25	221	191	67	50	(37)	70	52	48	15	–	–	–

^ If the group had been able to be formed

Percent

The following table shows projections with vote share instead of seats.

Opinion polls by vote share
Institute	Date	EPP	S&D	ECR	RE	Greens/EFA	GUE/NGL	EFDD	ENF	NI	Others
Institute	Date										Others
Result^[158]	2019-05-26	21.0%	18.5%	8.2%	13.0%	11.7%	6.5%	5.7%	10.8%	1.5%	3.1%
Europe Elects^[159]	2019-04-10	22.9%	18.0%	8.0%	13.1%	8.4%	7.3%	6.8%	8.4%	→	6.8%
Europe Elects^[160]	2018-12-27	21.4%	17.8%	5.9%	12.7%	7.0%	7.5%	8.2%	9.2%	→	9.3%
Europe Elects^[102]	2018-12-05	21.6%	17.9%	5.7%	13.1%	7.4%	8.3%	8.2%	8.6%	1.0%	8.3%
Europe Elects^[161]	2018-11-11	20.8%	17.6%	5.1%	13.3%	7.0%	8.8%	9.1%	9.6%	1.0%	7.8%
Europe Elects^[161]	2018-10-26	20.9%	18.4%	5.0%	11.6%	6.4%	8.6%	9.3%	9.1%	1.1%	9.7%
Europe Elects^[161]	2018-10-18	21.5%	18.4%	4.3%	12.0%	6.4%	8.7%	9.5%	9.3%	1.0%	8.9%
Europe Elects^[162]	2018-10-14	21.3%	18.3%	3.9%	12.6%	6.3%	8.6%	9.5%	9.3%	1.0%	9.1%
Europe Elects^[163]	2018-10-13	21.3%	18.4%	3.9%	12.5%	6.3%	8.6%	9.5%	9.3%	1.0%	9.1%
Europe Elects^[163]	2018-10-12	21.3%	18.5%	3.9%	12.5%	6.5%	8.6%	9.6%	9.3%	1.0%	9.1%
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de/Europe Elects^[164]	2018-06-01	20%	19.5%	9.5%	12.5%	6%	8%	8.5%	7.5%	2%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de/Europe Elects^[164]	2018-05-01	20.5%	21%	10.5%	13%	4.5%	8%	8%	7%	2%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de/Europe Elects^[164]	2018-04-01	20.5%	19.5%	10%	14%	4.5%	7.5%	8%	6.5%	1.5%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[164]	2018-03-07	21%	20.5%	10%	12.5%	4.5%	7.5%	8.5%	6%	2.5%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[164]	2018-01-30	21%	22%	10%	13.5%	5%	7.5%	7.5%	5.5%	2%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[164]	2018-01-01	21%	22.5%	10%	12.5%	4.5%	8.5%	7.5%	5.5%	2%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[164]	2017-11-30	21.5%	22%	10%	12.5%	4%	8%	7%	6.5%	2%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[164]	2017-11-14	21.5%	21.5%	9.5%	13%	4%	8%	7%	6%	3%	6%
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[164]	2017-10-06	21%	23%	9.5%	12.5%	4.5%	8%	4.5%	7%	3%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[164]	2017-09-14	22.5%	23%	9.5%	13%	4.5%	8%	4.5%	6%	3%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[164]	2017-06-14	22.5%	24%	8%	12.5%	4%	8%	4%	5.5%	3%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[164]	2017-05-22	22%	23%	8.5%	12%	4%	8%	4.5%	6.5%	3%	?
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[165]	2017-03-28	22%	23%	8.5%	8%	4%	7.5%	6%	7%	6.5%	7.5%
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[166]	2017-03-01	21%	23.5%	9%	8.5%	4%	7.5%	6.5%	7.5%	6%	6.5%
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[167]	2017-02-02	23%	20.5%	9.5%	8%	4.5%	8%	6%	8.5%	5.5%	6.5%
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[168]	2017-01-07	23.5%	22%	9%	8.5%	4.5%	7.5%	6.5%	9%	3.5%	6.5%
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[169]	2016-12-01	23.5%	22.5%	9%	8.5%	4.5%	7.5%	6.5%	8.5%	3.5%	6%
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[130]	2016-10-31	23%	21%	9%	8%	5%	8%	7%	9%	3%	7%
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[131]	2016-10-01	24%	22%	9%	9%	4%	8%	7%	9%	3%	5%
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[170]	2016-09-01	25%	24%	10%	12%	4%	8%	5%	8%	4%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[132]	2016-08-13	26%	24%	10%	11%	4%	8%	5%	8%	4%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[134]	2016-07-13	27%	25%	9%	12%	4%	7%	5%	8%	?	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[171]	2016-06-23	24%	24%	10%	12%	4%	8%	6%	8%	4%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[136]	2016-06-01	25%	23%	10%	11%	5%	8%	6%	8%	4%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[172]	2016-05-22	25%	24%	10%	11%	4%	8%	6%	8%	4%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[173]	2016-05-02	25%	24%	9%	12%	4%	9%	7%	7%	?	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[140]	2016-04-02	27%	24%	11%	12%	4%	8%	5%	6%	?	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[141]	2016-03-01	25%	24%	11%	13%	4%	9%	5%	6%	?	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[174]	2016-02-02	25%	25%	11%	11%	4%	9%	5%	7%	3%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[143]	2016-01-04	26%	25%	10%	13%	4%	9%	5%	6%	2%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[145]	2015-12-02	26%	25%	12%	11%	5%	8%	5%	6%	2%	–
Europe Elects/thenewfederalist.eu^[146]	2015-11-17	26%	27%	12%	10%	4%	8%	5%	6%	2%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[147]	2015-11-01	26%	27%	12%	10%	4%	8%	5%	6%	2%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[175]	2015-10-01	26%	26%	10%	11%	4%	9%	5%	6%	3%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[176]	2015-09-01	27%	26%	11%	10%	5%	9%	4%	5%	3%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[177]	2015-08-06	27%	26%	10%	9%	5%	10%	4%	5%	3%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[150]	2015-07-03	27%	26%	11%	9%	5%	9%	4%	5%	4%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[178]	2015-06-16	27%	25%	10%	10.5%	5%	9%	4%	5.5%	4%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[179]	2015-06-02	27%	26%	11%	9%	4%	9%	5%	–	9%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[152]	2015-05-05	29%	26%	9%	10%	4%	10%	5%	–	7%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[180]	2015-04-03	29%	27%	10%	9%	4%	9%	4%	–	8%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[181]	2015-03-12	29%	27%	10%	9%	4%	10%	4%	–	7%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[182]	2015-01-30	29%	27%	9%	10%	4%	9%	5%	–	7%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[182]	2014-12-30	29%	27%	10%	9%	4%	10%	4%	–	7%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[182]	2014-11-30	29%	27%	10%	10%	5%	9%	4%	–	6%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[182]	2014-10-30	29%	26%	9%	10%	5%	9%	4%	–	8%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[182]	2014-09-30	29%	26%	9%	10%	5%	9%	5%	–	7%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[182]	2014-08-30	27%	28%	9%	10%	5%	9%	5%	–	7%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[182]	2014-07-30	28%	26%	10%	10%	6%	8%	5%	–	7%	–
Europe Elects/treffpunkteuropa.de^[182]	2014-06-30	29%	26%	9%	10%	6%	8%	5%	–	7%	–
European election 2014	2014-05-25	29.2 %	25.4 %	9.1 %	8.9 %	6.8 %	6.7 %	6.4 %	–	7.1 %	–

Aftermath

President of the Commission Approval

The heads of governments, gathered in a European Council on 1–3 July 2019, could not agree on a consensus President of the Commission. The two Spitzenkandidaten were discussed, but neither Manfred Weber (EPP), nor Frans Timmermans (PES), who had the backing of many leaders but not of those from the Visegrad Group, had a majority.

In the final hours, the name of Ursula von der Leyen was suggested and agreed to by all governments, with Germany's abstention.

The European Parliament voted to approve her nomination on 16 July.

Ursula von der Leyen (EPP, ) as President of the European Commission
Required majority 374 out of 747 Y		GUE/NGL	S&D	G/EFA	RE	EPP	ECR	ID	NI
16 July 2019		Public accounts of the vote (individual votes unknown, as the ballot was secret)
Required majority 374 out of 747 Y
	Yes 383 / 747		73 or more PSOE (20)^[183] PD (19)^[184] PS (9)^[183] SLD (5)^[185] S (5)^[183] PL (4)^[183] Wiosna (3)^[185] S (3)^[183] Smer–SD (3)^[183] SDE (2)^[183]		108 or less • ALDE (108)^[186]	182 or less EPP (182) Fidesz-KDNP (13)^[187] PO (14)^[185] FI (6)^[184] PSL (3)^[185] SVP (1)^[184]	26 or more • PiS-SP (26)^[185]		14 or more • M5S (14)^[188]
	No 327 / 747	41 or less • GUE/NGL^[189]	42 or more SPD (16)^[190]^[191] PvdA (6)^[183] PS-PP-ND (5)^[192] SPÖ (5)^[183] BSP (5)^[183] PS (2)^[183] sp.a (1)^[183] SD (2)^[183]	74 or less Greens/EFA^[193] GRÜNE (2)^[194]	9 or more V (3)^[183] FW (2)^[183] D66 (2)^[183] NEOS (1)^[183] AP! (1)^[183]		5 or more FdI (5)^[184]	42 or more Lega (28)^[188] AfD (11)^[195] FPÖ (3)^[194]	29 or more • Brexit (29)^[188]
	Abstentions 23 / 747
	Absentees 14 / 747
Total : 747		41	153	74	108	182	62	73	54

Le Grand Continent published a detailed analysis of the secret ballot.^[183] The authors numbered the public pledges of national delegations and individual MEPs as amounting to 410, which is 27 more than what von der Leyen ultimately received. To explain the difference, they suggest three scenarios: one in which the support of delegations from the S&D group (some for, some against, some equivocal) was lower than admitted, another in which MEPs from the populist parties in government (Poland's PiS, Hungary's Fidesz and Italy's M5S) were claiming support only to gain leverage, and a half-way scenario which they see as the likeliest. In two of these three scenarios, the S&D group, which for decades was the pillar of the Grand coalition in Europe, no longer has a majority of MEPs supporting the Commission.

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External links

Official results

[62] 
EPP와 S&D에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 유럽연합(폴란드)의 득표수는 524만9935표로 집계됐다.

EPP와 ECR 그룹에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 기독교 연합 개혁 정당(네덜란드)의 375,660표가 EPP 그룹에 집계되었습니다.

[2] EPP와 S&D에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 유럽연합(폴란드)의 득표수는 524만9935표로 집계됐다.

[3] EPP와 ECR 그룹에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 기독교 연합 개혁 정당(네덜란드)의 375,660표가 EPP 그룹에 집계되었습니다.

[63] 유럽 재생은 2014-2019년 의회에서 유럽자유민주연합(ALDE)을 대체했다.

[64] RE와 EPP 그룹에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 PS-SPOLU(슬로바키아)의 198,255표가 RE 그룹에 집계되었다.

[65] G/EFA 및 GUE/NGL 그룹에 가입한 정당(및 비인사인 1명)으로 구성된 Ahora Republicas(스페인)의 1,252,139표가 G/EFA 그룹에 집계되었다.

[66] 정체성과 민주주의는 2014-2019년 의회의 국제자유유럽(ENF) 그룹을 크게 대체했다.

[67] GUE/NGL과 G/EFA 그룹에 가입한 정당으로 구성된 유니다스 포데모스 캄비아르 유로파(스페인)는 225만8857표가 GUE/NGL 그룹에 집계됐다.

[70] PVV의 리더인 Geert Wilders는 그 당이 ID 그룹에 가입할 것이라고 발표했다.

[73] If the group had been able to be formed

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v t Elections to the European Parliament
1979	Belgium Denmark (including Greenland) France Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands United Kingdom West Germany
1984	Belgium Denmark (including Greenland) France Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands United Kingdom West Germany
1989	Belgium Denmark France Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Portugal Spain United Kingdom West Germany
1994	Belgium Denmark France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Portugal Spain United Kingdom
1999	Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Portugal Spain Sweden United Kingdom
2004	Austria Belgium Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom (including Gibraltar)
2009	Austria Belgium Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom (including Gibraltar)
2014	Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom (including Gibraltar)
2019	Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom (including Gibraltar)
2024	Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden
Off-year	Greece (1981) Portugal (1987) Spain (1987) Sweden (1995) Austria (1996) Finland (1996) Bulgaria (2007) Romania (2007) Croatia (2013) UK by-elections (1979–1998)

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