2022년 칠레 국민투표

2022 Chilean national plebiscite
2022년 칠레 국민투표
2022년 9월 4일

헌법이 제안한 신헌법 본문에 찬성하십니까?
위치 칠리

2022 Chilean Referendum by commune percentage.svg
국가별 결과
헌법이 제안한 신헌법 본문에 찬성하십니까?
승인하다
38.14%
거부하다
61.86%

2022년 칠레 국민투표는 2022년 [1]9월 4일 칠레 헌법 개정안에 대한 국민의 동의 여부를 결정하기 위해 실시되었다.그것은 보통 "출구 국민 투표"[2][3]라고 불렸습니다.

"너무 길고, 너무 좌파적이고,[4] 너무 급진적"이라는 강한 비판에 직면했던 헌법 발의안은 62% 대 38%[5][6]의 표차로 부결되었다.

선거일

산티아고 국립경기장에서의 선거.

당초 개헌안 처리 일정에 따르면 개헌대회가 9개월의 기간을 채우지 않고 3개월 연장을 요청하지 않을 경우 2021년 9월이나 2022년 3월로 예상됐다.연장선[7]또 재선거 60일 전후에 출구국민투표를 할 수도 없고 1, 2월에 할 수도 없어 연장이 [8][9]요구되면 3월 첫째주 일요일로 할 수도 있다.

COVID-19 대유행으로 인해 첫 번째 국민투표가 2020년 10월 25일로 연기됨에 따라, 출구 국민투표 날짜도 수정되었다.늦어도 2022년 3분기,[10] 9월 중에 열릴 것으로 예상되었다.2022년 4월, 국민투표는 9월 [1]4일에 실시된다고 발표되었다.

포맷

1980년 칠레공화국 정치헌법 142조는 국민투표에 [8]투표용지의 내용을 명시하고 있다.

앞서 언급한 국민투표에서 시민들은 다음과 같은 질문을 포함하는 선거 카드를 갖게 될 것이다. "헌법회의가 제안한 신헌법 본문에 찬성하십니까?"제시된 질문 아래에는 두 개의 가로 줄무늬가 있으며, 하나는 다른 하나 옆에 있습니다.첫 번째 항목은 하단에 "승인"이라는 표현을, 두 번째 항목은 "거부"라는 표현을 사용하여 유권자가 대안 중 하나에 대한 자신의 선호도를 표시할 수 있습니다.

--

새 헌법이 부결될 경우 어떤 일이 일어날지에 대한 비상대책은 현재 마련되어 있지 않다.칠레의 인권변호사 딩카 베니테스는 "국민투표에서 투표한 사람들 중 80%가 새로운 헌법을 원한다는 점을 감안할 때 칠레는 어떤 형태로든 새로운 헌법을 제정할 방법을 찾아야 할 것 같다"며 "거부" 투표가 헌법개혁의 [11]종말이라고 할 수 없다"고 말했다.

신정치헌법

캠페인 및 행동

2022년 9월 1일 '레차조' 캠페인

8월 6일 알자지라는 이번 선거운동이 지금까지 분열과 양극화를 일으켰으며 헌법제안의 실제 [12]내용에 대한 잘못된 정보가 유포되고 있다고 보도했다.

당의 입장

선택. 파티들 정치적 성향 지도자 참조
checkY 승인 Apruebo Dignidad logo.svg 아프루에보 디그니다드 (AD) 진보주의 가브리엘 보릭 [13]
Logo of the Democratic Revolution.svg 민주혁명(RD) 민주사회주의 후안 이그나시오 라토레
Convergencia Social (recorte).png 소셜 컨버전스(CS) 자유주의적 사회주의 아론드라 아렐라노
Partido Comunes Circulo.png 공통 21세기 사회주의 마르코 벨라르드
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg 칠레 공산당 공산주의 기예르모 틸리에
Federacion Regionalista Verde Social (recorte).png 사회녹색지역주의연맹(FREVS) 지역주의 플라비아 토레알바 디아즈
Logo de Acción Humanista Chile.png 휴머니스트 액션(AH) 휴머니즘 토마스 히르슈
Logo of the Unir Movement.svg Unir 이동(UNIR) 진보주의 마르셀로 디아스
민주사회주의(SD) 사회민주주의
Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg 칠레 사회당 사회민주주의 파울리나 보다노비치
Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg 민주정당(PPD) 진보주의 나탈리아 피에르겐틸리
Emblema Partido Radical Chile.svg 칠레 급진당(PR) 사회자유주의 레오나르도 큐빌로스
Logo nuevo Partido Liberal de Chile.png 칠레 자유당(PL) 사회자유주의 블라도 미로세비치
Logopdc2020.svg 기독교민주당(PDC 기독교 민주주의 펠리페 델핀 [14]
Partido Humanista (corto).svg 휴머니스트 정당(PH) 보편적 휴머니즘 나탈리아 이바녜스 [15]
Partido Ecologista Verde de Chile.svg 녹색생태학자당(PEV) 녹색 정치 펠릭스 곤살레스 가티카 [16]
☒N 거부 Chile Vamos corto.png 칠레 Vamos (ChV) 자유 보수주의 [17]
UDI 2017 (recorte).svg 독립민주연합(UDI) 보수주의 하비에르 마카야
Logo del Partido político Renovación Nacional (RN), Chile.svg 국가 갱신(RN) 보수주의 프란시스코 차후안
Evópoli2.png 정치의 진화(Evopoli) 고전적 자유주의 루즈 포블레 코두
Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg 공화당(PLR) 국민보수주의 로조 에드워즈 [18]
Partido de la Gente.svg 인민당(PDG) 포퓰리즘 프랑코 파리지 [19]

여론 조사

아래 표는 여론 조사 결과를 역순으로 나열하고, 가장 최근의 조사 결과를 가장 먼저 보여 주며, 발행일이 아닌 현장 조사를 실시한 날짜를 사용합니다.현장조사 날짜를 알 수 없는 경우, 대신 발행일이 지정됩니다.각 폴링 조사의 가장 높은 백분율 수치는 배경이 선행 옵션의 색상으로 음영 처리되어 표시됩니다.오른쪽의 "리드" 열은 폴링 옵션 간의 백분율 차이를 보여 줍니다.

투표의향 추정치

아래 표에 가중투표의향 추정치를 나타냅니다.부정 투표는 일반적으로 정당 투표율에서 제외되지만, 질문 문구와 "모름" 응답 처리, 투표 의도가 없는 응답은 여론조사 기관마다 다를 수 있습니다.

색상 키:

여론조사의 법적 금지 후 실시되는 여론조사

투표 선호도

아래 표에는 가중치가 없는 원시 투표 선호도가 나열되어 있습니다.

결과.

2022년 9월 4일 칠레에서 열린 신헌법 부결의 승리를 축하한다.
결과.
선택.투표%
위해서4,860,09338.14
그에 반대하여7,882,95861.86
12,743,051100.00
유효 투표12,743,05197.86
무효 투표200,7221.54
백지 투표77,2900.59
총투표수13,021,063100.00
등록 유권자/투표율15,173,92985.81
출처 : SERVEL (99,99 % 카운트)

여파

보리치는 "대부분의 칠레 국민들과 정치인들은 독재정권에서 유래한 헌법이 반드시 바뀌어야 한다는 데 동의했다"고 알자지라가 쓴 새로운 헌법 초안을 발표했다.보릭 총리는 모든 정당 대표들에게 9월 5일 월요일 회의를 소집해 앞으로 [20]나아갈 길을 모색할 것을 요청했다.가디언은 "칠레의 미래는 확실히 불확실해 보인다"며 "보릭은 헌법 과정을 반복하겠다는 의지를 밝혔지만 개혁의 근거는 여전히 [21]논의의 여지가 많다"고 보도하면서, 이 부결의 결과로, 현행 1980년 헌법이 효력을 유지하게 될 것이다.구스타보 페트로 콜롬비아 대통령은 칠레가 1980년 [22]헌법 제정자 아우구스토 피노체트를 부활시키기로 결정한 점을 감안해 이번 부결투표의 승리를 한탄했다.

레퍼런스

여론 조사 출처
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다른.
  1. ^ a b Fuentes, Cristóbal (5 April 2022). "Ya hay fecha: plebiscito de salida para votar una nueva Constitución será el 4 de septiembre". La Tercera. Archived from the original on 5 April 2022. Retrieved 5 April 2022.
  2. ^ Armaza, Christian (26 October 2020). "Plebiscito de salida: la instancia donde se aprobará o rechazará la nueva Constitución". El Día (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 31 October 2020. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
  3. ^ "Plebiscito de Salida: cuándo es y por qué es urgente". chile.as.com. 13 March 2022. Archived from the original on 13 March 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  4. ^ Schmidt, Samantha (5 September 022). "Chilean voters decisively reject leftist constitution". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  5. ^ "Plebiscito: Chile rechaza propuesta de nueva Constitución con histórica participación de más de 12 millones de personas". La Tercera. 4 September 2022. Archived from the original on 4 September 2022. Retrieved 4 September 2022.
  6. ^ "Chile votes overwhelmingly to reject new, progressive constitution". The Guardian. 5 September 2022. Archived from the original on 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  7. ^ "Los 17 procesos electorales que deberá atravesar Chile hasta el 2022". T13 (in Spanish). 16 November 2019. Archived from the original on 8 December 2019. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
  8. ^ a b "Constitución Política de la República de Chile". LeyChile (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 14 May 2021. Retrieved 13 October 2020.
  9. ^ "El cronograma constitucional: Los pasos que vienen tras el triunfo del Apruebo en el Plebiscito". T13 (in Spanish). 26 October 2020. Archived from the original on 30 October 2020. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
  10. ^ Gobierno de Chile. "Proceso constituyente" (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 12 July 2021. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
  11. ^ Harrison, Chase (20 May 2022). "A Look at What Is—and Isn't—in Chile's Constitutional Draft". AS/COA. Archived from the original on 19 June 2022. Retrieved 14 June 2022.
  12. ^ "Chile opinion polls show deep division ahead of constitution vote". YouTube. Archived from the original on 6 August 2022. Retrieved 6 August 2022.
  13. ^ Latorre, Rocío (6 June 2022). "Primeros pasos de cara al Apruebo: oficialismo establece una "instancia de coordinación" para campaña". La Tercera. Archived from the original on 5 July 2022. Retrieved 24 August 2022.
  14. ^ "Democracia Cristiana irá por el Apruebo en plebiscito constitucional". T13. Archived from the original on 9 July 2022. Retrieved 24 August 2022.
  15. ^ "Instagram". Instagram. Archived from the original on 5 September 2022. Retrieved 24 August 2022.[어쩔 수 없는 소스?][데드링크]
  16. ^ "Archived copy". Twitter. Archived from the original on 14 August 2022. Retrieved 24 August 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: 제목으로 아카이브된 복사(링크)
  17. ^ Meganoticias (4 June 2022). "Partidos de Chile Vamos hacen llamado a votar "Rechazo" en plebiscito de salida". meganoticias.cl (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 4 June 2022. Retrieved 24 August 2022.
  18. ^ Pérez, Graciela (17 May 2022). "Republicanos es el primer partido de oposición que rechaza borrador de la Convención: "Es una mala propuesta"". La Tercera. Archived from the original on 13 August 2022. Retrieved 24 August 2022.
  19. ^ ADN. "Partido de la Gente irá por el Rechazo en el plebiscito de nueva Constitución". ADN (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 16 July 2022. Retrieved 24 August 2022.
  20. ^ "Chile says emphatic no to proposed new constitution in referendum". Archived from the original on 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  21. ^ "Chile votes overwhelmingly to reject new, progressive constitution". TheGuardian.com. 5 September 2022. Archived from the original on 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  22. ^ Staff, Forbes (5 September 2022). "'Revivió Pinochet': Petro tras la victoria del rechazo a la nueva constitución en Chile". Forbes Colombia. Archived from the original on 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.