2016년 공화당 대선후보 경선 전국 여론조사

Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
참고 항목: 2016년 민주당 대선후보 경선 전국여론조사 및 2016년 공화당 대선후보 경선 주 전체여론조사
Seal of the President of the United States.svg
2016년 미국 대통령 선거
공화당
민주당
제3자
관련 인종
← 2012 2016 2020 →

2016년 미국 대선 공화당 경선과 관련해 실시된 전국 여론조사 목록이다. 투표에 이름이 오른 사람들은 후보자로 선언되거나, 전직 후보이거나, 그들의 출마 가능성에 대한 언론의 추측을 받았다. 2016년 5월 4일, 도널드 트럼프가 유일한 경쟁자이자 추정 후보가 되었다.

집계 폴링

폴 소스 포함 또는 업데이트 날짜 테드 크루즈 존 카시치 도널드 트럼프 다른이들
허프포스트 폴스터 모델[1] 2016년 5월 8일 업데이트 23.4% 13.7% 56.5% 미정 5.0% 기타 2.7%
5.38 평균[2] 2016년 5월 1일 업데이트 28.8% 18.2% 43.9%
평균[3] 270승 2016년 4월 12일 – 5월 1일 27.0% 18.0% 46.5%
리얼클리어 폴리시 평균[4] 2016년 4월 12일 – 5월 1일 27.0% 18.0% 46.5%

개별 여론조사

2016년 여론조사

공화당 대선후보 경선 2016년 1월 이후 실시된 여론조사 요약

3월 15일 경선 이후 실시된 여론조사

폴 소스 표본크기 오차범위 관리되는 날짜 테드 크루즈 존 카시치 도널드 트럼프 다른이들
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[5] 3389 ± 2.3% 2016년 5월 2~8일 21% 13% 60% 미정 6%
입소스/로이터[6] 423 ± 5.3% 2016년 4월 30일 - 5월 4일 27% 17% 55% 2% 투표 안 함
모닝 컨설팅[7] 723 ± 2.0% 2016년 4월 29일 - 5월 2일 20% 13% 56% 기타 4%
미정 7%
CNN/ORC[8] 406 ± 5.0% 2016년 4월 28일 - 5월 1일 25% 19% 49% 기타 3%
1% 모르기
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[9] 3479 ± 2.2% 2016년 4월 25일 - 5월 1일 22% 14% 56% 미정 7%
모닝 컨설팅[10] 757 ± 2.0% 2016년 4월 26~29일 27% 12% 48% 기타 8%
5% 모르기
IBD/TIPP[11] 354 ± 5.0% 2016년 4월 22~29일 29% 16% 48% 기타 8%
1% 모르기
입소스/로이터[12] 762 ± 4% 2016년 4월 23~27일 28% 17% 49% 5% 투표 안 함
유고브/경제학자[13] 499 ± 2.8% 2016년 4월 22~26일 28% 19% 49% 선호 없음 4%
서퍽 대학교/미국 투데이[14] 292 ± 5.7% 2016년 4월 20~24일 29% 17% 45% 미정 8%
기타 1%
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[15] 2633 ± 2.6% 2016년 4월 18-24일 26% 17% 50% 미정 7%
입소스/로이터[16] 546 ± 4.8% 2016년 4월 16~20일 31% 16% 49% 4% 투표 안 함
퓨 리서치[17] 740 ± % 2016년 4월 12~19일 25% 20% 44% 기타 1%
미정 2%
모닝 컨설팅[18] 780 ± 2.0% 2016년 4월 15-17일 26% 13% 46% 기타 7%
미정 8%
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[19] 3333 ± 2.3% 2016년 4월 11~17일 28% 19% 46% 미정 7%
NBC 뉴스/월스트리트 저널[20] 310 ± 5.57% 2016년 4월 10-14일 35% 24% 40% 없음 1%
폭스 뉴스[21] 419 ± 4.5% 2016년 4월 11~13일 27% 25% 45% 기타 1%
미정 1%
입소스/로이터[22] 622 ± 4.5% 2016년 4월 9~13일 32% 21% 44% 4% 투표 안 함
CBS 뉴스[23] 399 ± 6% 2016년 4월 8일-12일 29% 18% 42% 기본 설정 없음 6%
없음 4%
유고브/경제학자[24] 502 ± 2.8% 2016년 4월 8일-11일 25% 18% 53% 선호 없음 4%
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[25] 3225 ± 2.3% 2016년 4월 4~10일 30% 16% 46% 8% 모르기
입소스/로이터[26] 584 ± 4.6% 2016년 4월 2일-6일 38% 19% 39% 3% 투표 안 함
모닝 컨설팅[27] 770 ± 2.0% 2016년 4월 1일-3일 27% 14% 45% 기타 6%
8% 모르기
공공종교연구소/대서양[28] 785 ± 2.5% 2016년 3월 30일~4월 3일 32% 21% 36% 기타 2%
8% 모르기
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[29] 3353 ± 2.2% 2016년 3월 28일~4월 3일 28% 18% 45% 확실하지 않은 9%
IBD/TIPP[30] 388 ± 5.1% 2016년 3월 28일~4월 2일 31% 19% 38% 기타 7%
4%는 확실하지 않다.
매클래치/마리스트[31] 444 ± 4.7% 2016년 3월 29~31일 35% 20% 40% 기타 1%
3%는 확실하지 않다.
입소스/로이터[32] 665 ± 4.3% 2016년 3월 27~31일 33% 19% 44% 5% 투표 안 함
유고브/경제학자[33] 525 ± 2.8% 2016년 3월 26~29일 29% 18% 48% 기본 설정 없음 5%
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[34] 1611 ± 3.4% 2016년 3월 21~27일 27% 18% 48% 미정 7%
퓨 리서치 센터[35] 834 ± 2.4% 2016년 3월 17~27일 32% 20% 41% 1% 모르기
공공 정책 폴링[36] 505 ± 4.4% 2016년 3월 24~26일 32% 22% 42% 미정 4%
모닝 컨설팅[37] 803 ± 2.0% 2016년 3월 24~26일 28% 10% 49% 기타 5%
8% 모르기
입소스/로이터[38] 583 ± 4.6% 2016년 3월 19-23일 28% 20% 45% 7% 투표 안 함
엠클로인[39] 436 ± 3.1% 2016년 3월 17-23일 28% 16% 45% 미정 10%
폭스 뉴스[40] 388 ± 5.0% 2016년 3월 20~22일 38% 17% 41% 기타 1%
위의 2% 중 어느 것도 해당되지 않음
1% 모르다
블룸버그/셀저[41] 366 ± 5.1% 2016년 3월 19~22일 31% 25% 40% 확실하지 않은 5%
모닝 컨설팅[42] 754 ± 2.0% 2016년 3월 18-21일 26% 13% 45% 기타 6%
10% 모르기
퀴니피악[43] 652 ± 3.8% 2016년 3월 16-21일 29% 16% 43% 기타 3%
미정 9%
몬머스 대학교[44] 353 ± 5.2% 2016년 3월 17~20일 29% 18% 41% 기타 2%
미정 4%
CNN/ORC[45] 397 ± 5.0% 2016년 3월 17~20일 31% 17% 47% 기타 3%
없음 1%
CBS뉴스/뉴욕타임스[46] 362 ± 6.0% 2016년 3월 17~20일 26% 20% 46% 없음 4%
모닝 컨설팅[47] 758 ± 2.0% 2016년 3월 16일-18일 27% 14% 43% 기타 7%
10% 모르기
라스무센[48] 719 ± 4.0% 2016년 3월 16-17일 28% 21% 43% 5% 기타
3% 미정

슈퍼 화요일 이후 실시된 여론조사

폴 소스 샘플
사이즈를 맞추다 		여백
착오 		날짜
관리된 		테드 크루즈 존 카시치 마르코 루비오 도널드 트럼프 다른이들
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[49] 3489 ± 2.5% 2016년 3월 14~20일 24% 16% 6% 45% 8% 모르기
입소스/로이터[50] 605 ± 4.4% 2016년 3월 12~16일 24% 9% 13% 46% 7% 투표 안 함
모닝 컨설팅[51] 1516 ± 2.0% 2016년 3월 11~13일 23% 9% 12% 42% 모르기 9%
기타 5%
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[52] 2280 ± 3.1% 2016년 3월 7~13일 24% 12% 11% 44% 7% 모르기
응답 없음 1%
유고브/경제학자[53] 400 ± 2.9% 2016년 3월 10일-12일 22% 11% 10% 53% 선호 없음 4%
입소스/로이터[54] 639 ± 4.3% 2016년 3월 5일-9일 24% 13% 13% 41% 5% 투표 안 함
모닝 컨설팅[55] 781 ± 2.0% 2016년 3월 4~6일 23% 10% 14% 40% 8% 모르기
기타 5%
NBC 뉴스/월스트리트 저널[56] 397 ± 4.9% 2016년 3월 3일-6일 27% 22% 20% 30% 기타 1%
ABC 뉴스/워싱턴 포스트[57] 400 ± 5.5% 2016년 3월 3일-6일 25% 13% 18% 34% 없음 5%
기타 4%

사우스캐롤라이나 프라이머리 이후 실시된 여론조사

폴 소스 샘플
사이즈를 맞추다 		여백
착오 		날짜
관리된 		벤 카슨 테드 크루즈 존 카시치 마르코 루비오 도널드 트럼프 다른이들
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[58] 6,481 ± 2.1% 2016년 2월 29일 ~ 3월 6일 8% 20% 9% 18% 39% 6% 모르기
입소스/로이터[59] 542 ± 4.6% 2016년 2월 27일 ~ 3월 2일 10% 16% 10% 20% 41% 4% 투표 안 함
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[60] 8,759 ± 1.8% 2016년 2월 22~28일 8% 18% 7% 21% 40% 6% 모르기
모닝 컨설팅[61] 777 ± 2% 2016년 2월 26~27일 9% 15% 5% 14% 44% 기타 4%
8% 모르기
CNN/ORC[62] 427 ± 5% 2016년 2월 24~27일 10% 15% 6% 16% 49% 기타 3%
1% 모르기
유고브/경제학자[63] 456 ± ?% 2016년 2월 24~27일 7% 21% 8% 17% 44% 선호 없음 3%
서베이몽키[64] 1,946 ± 3.5% 2016년 2월 24~25일 8% 19% 8% 21% 39% 6% 모르기
모닝 컨설팅[65] 1430 ± 2.6% 2016년 2월 24~25일 9% 14% 5% 19% 42% 기타 2%
모르기 9%
IBD[66]/TIPP 폴 400 ± 5% 2016년 2월 19-24일 8% 20% 7% 18% 31%
라스무센 보고서/
펄스 의견 연구[67] 		697 ± 4% 2016년 2월 21~22일 8% 17% 12% 21% 36% 미정 4%
기타 3%

뉴햄프셔 경선 이후 실시된 여론조사

폴 소스 샘플
사이즈를 맞추다 		여백
착오 		날짜
관리된 		젭 부시 벤 카슨 테드 크루즈 존 카시치 마르코 루비오 도널드 트럼프 다른이들
입소스/로이터[68] 553 ± 4.8% 2016년 2월 20~24일 3% 8% 22% 8% 13% 42% 4% 투표 안 함
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[69] 3368 ± 2.4% 2016년 2월 15~21일 4% 8% 19% 8% 16% 36% 응답 없음 1%
7% 모르기
폭스 뉴스[70] 404 ± 4.5% 2016년 2월 15~17일 9% 9% 19% 8% 15% 36% 기타 1%
3% 모르기
입소스/로이터[71] 517 ± 4.9% 2016년 2월 13~17일 9% 10% 17% 9% 11% 40% 짐 길모어 1%
4% 투표 안 함
모닝 컨설팅[72] 662 ± ?% 2016년 2월 15~16일 7% 11% 12% 3% 14% 41% 다른 사람 3%
모르기 9%
NBC 뉴스/
월스트리트저널[73] 		400 ± 4.9% 2016년 2월 14-16일 4% 10% 28% 11% 17% 26% 없음 1%
확실하지 않은 3%
CBS 뉴스/
뉴욕 타임스[74] 		581 ± 5.0% 2016년 2월 12~16일 4% 6% 18% 11% 12% 35% 다른 사람 1%
그들 중 5%는 없다.
로버트 모리스[75] 259 ± 3.0% 2016년 2월 11~16일 5.8% 12.4% 18.5% 3.9% 14.3% 37.8% 기타 7.3%
유고브/경제학자[76] 472 ± ?% 2016년 2월 11~15일 6% 7% 19% 11% 16% 39% 기타 1%
기본 설정 없음 1%
USA 투데이/
서퍽 대학교[77] 		358 ± 5.2% 2016년 2월 11~15일 6% 4% 20% 7% 17% 35% 미정12%
퀴니피악[78] 602 ± 4% 2016년 2월 10~15일 4% 4% 18% 6% 19% 39% 1% 투표 안 함
신경 쓰지 마 9%
모닝 컨설팅[79] 710 ± 3.7% 2016년 2월 10일-11일 8% 10% 17% 4% 10% 44% 모르다/의견 없음 6%

아이오와 코커스 이후 실시된 여론조사

폴 소스 샘플
사이즈를 맞추다 		여백
착오 		날짜
관리된 		젭
부시 		벤
카슨 		크리스
크리스티 		테드
크루즈 		칼리.
피오리나 		짐.
길모어 		존
카시치 		마르코
루비오 		도널드
트럼프 		다른이들
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[80] 3411 ± 1.1% 2월
8–14,
2016 		4% 8% 2% 18% 1% — 7% 14% 38% 6% 모르기
응답 없음 1%
입소스/로이터[81] 513 ± 4.7% 2월
6–10,
2016 		7% 11% 3% 23% 3% — 2% 14% 35% 3%를 투표하지 않을까
모닝 컨설팅[82] 4287 ± 1% 2월
3–7,
2016 		6% 9% 3% 17% 2% — 2% 15% 38% 미정 8%
1% 다른 사람
라스무센[83] 725 ± 4% 2월
3–4,
2016 		4% 5% 3% 20% 3% — 6% 21% 31% 미정 3%
다른 사람 3%
퀴니피악 대학교[84] 507 ± 4.4% 2월
2–4,
2016 		3% 6% 3% 22% 2% — 3% 19% 31% 미정 9%
1% 다른 사람
1% 투표 안 함

아이오와 코커스 전에 실시된 여론조사

폴 소스 샘플
사이즈를 맞추다 		여백
착오 		날짜
관리된 		젭
부시 		벤
카슨 		크리스
크리스티 		테드
크루즈 		칼리.
피오리나 		짐.
길모어 		존
카시치 		랜드
폴. 		마르코
루비오 		릭
산토룸속 		도널드
트럼프 		다른이들
NBC 뉴스/서베이몽키[85] 2887 ± 2.7% 2월
1–7,
2016 		3% 7% 3% 20% 2% — 3% 2% 17% — 35% 미정 5%
응답 없음 1%
공공 정책 폴링[86] 531 ± 4.3% 2월
2–3,
2016 		5% 11% 3% 21% 3% 1% 5% 5% 21% 0% 25% 미정 1%
모닝 컨설팅[87] 641 ± 3.9% 2월
2–3,
2016 		5% 9% 3% 14% 3% — 2% — 12% 1% 38% 다른 사람 5%
모르기/
의견 없음 8%
폴 소스 샘플
사이즈를 맞추다 		여백
착오 		날짜
관리된 		젭
부시 		벤
카슨 		크리스
크리스티 		테드
크루즈 		칼리.
피오리나 		짐.
길모어 		마이크
허커비 		존
카시치 		랜드
폴. 		마르코
루비오 		릭
산토룸속 		도널드
트럼프 		다른이들
입소스/로이터[88] 631 ± 4.4% 1월 30일 –
2월 3일
2016 		7% 8% 5% 16% 2% 0% 2% 3% 2% 14% 0% 36% 4% 투표하지 않을까
모닝 컨설팅[89] 1491 ± 2.5% 1월 29일 –
2월 1일
2016 		7% 9% 3% 12% 1% 1% 3% 2% 3% 8% 1% 41% 1% 다른 사람
8% 모르다
NBC 뉴스/
서베이몽키[90] 		3057 ± 2.6% 1월
25–31,
2016 		3% 7% 3% 20% 2% 0% 2% 3% 3% 12% 1% 39% 4% 모르다
무응답 2%
유고브/경제학자[91] 481 ± 2.0% 1월
27–30,
2016 		4% 4% 2% 18% 2% 1% 2% 5% 4% 14% 1% 43%
IBD/TIPP[92] 395 ± 5.0% 1월
22–27,
2016 		5% 9% 1% 21% 2% 0% 1% 2% 4% 10% 1% 31% 기타 2%
미정12%
1% 거부됨
블룸버그/
보라색 전략[93] 		1020 ± 3.1% 1월
22–26,
2016 		7% 9% 2% 12% 2% 0% 3% 4% 3% 14% 1% 34% 다른 사람 0%
위의 1% 중 없음
확실하지 않은 9%
모닝 컨설팅[94] 1552 ± 2.0% 1월
21–24,
2016 		7% 10% 3% 11% 1% — 3% 2% 2% 9% 1% 40% 기타 2%
5% 모르다
CNN/ORC[95] 405 ± 3.0% 1월
21–24,
2016 		5% 6% 4% 19% 2% — 3% 1% 3% 8% — 41%
ABC 뉴스/
워싱턴포스트[96] 		356 ± 3.5% 1월
21–24,
2016 		5% 7% 4% 21% 3% — 2% 2% 1% 11% 0% 37% 기타 1%
없음 1%
5% 미투표
공공종교
연구소[97] 		381 ± 3.6% 1월
20–24,
2016 		5% 14% 2% 14% 2% — 1% 3% 3% 9% — 31% 기타 1%
미정 15%
NBC 뉴스/
서베이몽키[98] 		2327 ± 1.3% 1월
18–24,
2016 		4% 8% 3% 17% 2% 0% 1% 3% 3% 10% 0% 39% 미정 9%
응답 없음 1%
폭스 뉴스[99] 405 ± 3.0% 1월
18–21,
2016 		4% 8% 3% 20% 1% 1% 2% 4% 2% 11% <1% 34% 8% 모르다
조그비[100] 294 ± 5.8% 1월
19–20,
2016 		6% 4% 2% 13% 3% 0% 2% 3% 2% 8% 2% 45% 미정 10%
입소스/로이터[101] 588 ± 2.8% 1월
16–20,
2016 		10% 11% 4% 12% 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 8% 0% 36% 6% 투표하지 않을까
유고브/경제학자[102] 476 ± 2.9% 1월
15–19,
2016 		3% 7% 3% 19% 2% 0% 2% 2% 4% 14% 1% 38% 기타 1%
미정 3%
몬머스 대학교[103] 385 ± 5.0% 1월
15–18,
2016 		5% 8% 3% 17% 1% 0% 3% 3% 2% 11% 1% 36% 노원 2%
미정 8%
모닝 컨설팅[104] 1635 ± 2.0% 1월
14–17,
2016 		7% 8% 3% 13% 2% — 3% 2% 3% 9% 1% 39% 다른 사람 2%
모르기 9%
NBC/SurveyMonkey[105] 3342 ± 2.3% 1월
11–17,
2016 		4% 8% 3% 21% 3% 0% 2% 2% 3% 11% 0% 38% 5% 모르다
응답 없음 1%
NBC 뉴스/
월스트리트저널[106] 		400 ± 4.9% 1월
9–13,
2016 		5% 12% 5% 20% 3% — 1% 3% 3% 13% — 33% 없음 1%
미정 1%
입소스/로이터[107] 575 ± 2.8% 1월
9–13,
2016 		10% 11% 4% 14% 3% 0% 3% 2% 3% 6% 1% 38% 5%를 투표하지 않겠는가.
유고브/경제학자[108] 552 ± 4.6% 1월
9–11,
2016 		5% 6% 4% 20% 3% 0% 3% 3% 3% 11% 2% 36% 기타 2%
미정 3%
모닝 컨설팅[109] 878 ± 2.0% 1월
8–10,
2016 		5% 12% 4% 10% 1% — 2% 2% 3% 9% 0% 42% 기타 2%
미정 8%
CBS 뉴스/
뉴욕 타임스[110] 		442 해당 없음 1월
7–10,
2016 		6% 6% 3% 19% 3% — 4% 2% 1% 12% 0% 36% 미정 7%
NBC/SurveyMonkey[111] 2825 ± 1.2% 1월
4–10,
2016 		3% 9% 3% 20% 2% 0% 2% 2% 3% 11% 0% 38% 5% 모르다
IBD/TIPP[112] 389 ± 4% 1월
4–8,
2016 		4% 8% 4% 18% 2% — 1% 2% 3% 9% — 34% 11%를 모른다.
폭스 뉴스[113] 423 ± 4.5% 1월
4–7,
2016 		4% 10% 2% 20% 3% 0% 1% 2% 2% 13% 0% 35% 6% 모르다
기타 2%
입소스/로이터[114] 634 ± 4.4% 1월
2–6,
2016 		8% 11% 3% 14% 1% 0% 2% 1% 3% 8% 0% 42% 7%를 투표하지 않을 것인가.
유고브/경제학자[115] 469 ± 4% 12월 31일
2015년 – 1월
6, 2016 		4% 6% 4% 19% 3% 0% 2% 4% 5% 13% 1% 36% 2% 모르다
NBC/SurveyMonkey[116] 949 ± 1.9% 12월 26일
2015년 – 1월
3, 2016 		6% 9% 4% 18% 3% 0% 2% 2% 2% 13% 1% 35% 6% 모르다
응답 없음 1%

2015년 여론조사

2015년 여론조사

2014년 여론조사

2014년 여론조사

2013년과 2012년에 실시된 여론조사

2013년 및 2012년 여론조사

참고 항목

총선 여론조사
민주당 경선 투표
공화당 경선 투표

참조

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